Alaska Air Group Stock Analysis

ALK Stock  USD 52.64  1.81  3.56%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Alaska Air Group extending back to March 17, 1980. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Alaska Air stands at 52.64, as last reported on the 3rd of February, with the highest price reaching 52.71 and the lowest price hitting 50.78 during the day.
IPO Date
2nd of January 2001
200 Day MA
50.3498
50 Day MA
48.4506
Beta
1.172
 
Black Monday
 
Oil Shock
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Alaska Air Group holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.033. At this time, Alaska Air's Interest Debt Per Share is quite stable compared to the past year. Alaska Air's financial risk is the risk to Alaska Air stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Alaska Air's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Alaska Air's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Alaska Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Alaska Air's stakeholders.
For many companies, including Alaska Air, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for Alaska Air Group, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, Alaska Air's management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Price Book
1.426
Enterprise Value Ebitda
27.9329
Price Sales
0.4288
Shares Float
115 M
Wall Street Target Price
70.8
At this time, Alaska Air's Total Stockholder Equity is quite stable compared to the past year. Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is expected to rise to about 21.4 B this year, although the value of Common Stock Total Equity will most likely fall to about 855 K. . At this time, Alaska Air's Price To Sales Ratio is quite stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings Ratio is expected to rise to 61.02 this year, although the value of Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio will most likely fall to 3.73.
Alaska Air Group is fairly valued with Real Value of 54.06 and Target Price of 70.8. The main objective of Alaska Air stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Alaska Air Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Alaska Air's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Alaska Air stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alaska Air Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Alaska Stock Analysis Notes

About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.43. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Alaska Air Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.3. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2020. The firm had 2:1 split on the 10th of July 2014. Alaska Air Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides passenger and cargo air transportation services. Alaska Air Group, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is based in Seattle, Washington. Alaska Air operates under Airlines classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 22354 people. For more info on Alaska Air Group please contact Bradley Tilden at 206 392 5040 or go to https://www.alaskaair.com.

Alaska Air Quarterly Total Revenue

3.63 Billion

Alaska Air Group Investment Alerts

Alaska Air Group has 6.89 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.03, which is OK given its current industry classification. Alaska Air Group has a current ratio of 0.79, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for Alaska to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns.
Over 92.0% of Alaska Air shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Earnings live Sandisk stock soars on profit beat, Verizon climbs, Exxon and Chevron beat estimates

Alaska Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Alaska Air's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2010-04-22
2010-03-310.080.090.0112 
1997-04-21
1997-03-31-0.09-0.1-0.0111 
2019-04-25
2019-03-310.150.170.0213 
View All Earnings Estimates

Alaska Air Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Alaska Air's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Alaska Air's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Alaska Air's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Alaska Air's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Alaska Air Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Alaska Air stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Air Idea
Air
Air services and air delivery
Impulse Idea
Impulse
Macroaxis evolving impulse stocks

Alaska Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2025-06-30
M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-06-30
1.8 M
Capital Research Global Investors2025-06-30
1.7 M
Aqr Capital Management Llc2025-06-30
1.5 M
Ubs Group Ag2025-06-30
1.3 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2025-06-30
1.3 M
Par Capital Management Inc2025-06-30
1.1 M
Arga Investment Management, Lp2025-06-30
1.1 M
Hennessy Advisors, Inc.2025-06-30
M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
12.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
11.8 M
Note, although Alaska Air's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Alaska Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 6.11 B.

Alaska Profitablity

The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.01 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.03 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.03 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.02  0.02 

Management Efficiency

Alaska Air Group has Return on Asset of 0.0171 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0171 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.0236 %, implying that it generated $0.0236 on every 100 dollars invested. Alaska Air's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Alaska Air manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The value of Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to slide to 0.01. The value of Return On Capital Employed is expected to slide to 0.02. At this time, Alaska Air's Total Current Liabilities is quite stable compared to the past year. Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is expected to rise to about 21.4 B this year, although the value of Non Current Liabilities Other will most likely fall to about 499.3 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 35.64  37.43 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 5.02  6.12 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 9.33  7.94 
Price Book Value Ratio 1.41  1.26 
Enterprise Value Multiple 9.33  7.94 
Price Fair Value 1.41  1.26 
Enterprise Value3.6 B3.7 B
The decision-making processes within Alaska Air are key to its success in a competitive market. By evaluating these processes, we assess the stock's potential for future gains.
Operating Margin
0.0314
Profit Margin
0.007
Beta
1.172
Return On Assets
0.0171
Return On Equity
0.0236

Technical Drivers

As of the 3rd of February, Alaska Air shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.1003, and Mean Deviation of 2.21. Alaska Air Group technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Alaska Air Group Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was twenty-three with a total number of output elements of thirty-eight. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Alaska Air middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Alaska Air Group. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Alaska Air Group Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Alaska Air insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Alaska Air's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Alaska Air insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Alaska Air Outstanding Bonds

Alaska Air issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Alaska Air Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Alaska bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Alaska Air Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Alaska Air Predictive Daily Indicators

Alaska Air intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Alaska Air stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Alaska Air Corporate Filings

8K
22nd of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
7th of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
3rd of December 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
10Q
6th of November 2025
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
13A
5th of November 2025
The form used by investors holding more than 5% of a company's stock, to report their beneficial ownership pursuant to Rule 13d-1 or Rule 13d-2 under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
ViewVerify
F4
4th of November 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
8K
31st of October 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
24th of October 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

Alaska Air Forecast Models

Alaska Air's time-series forecasting models are one of many Alaska Air's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Alaska Air's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Alaska Air Group Debt to Cash Allocation

Alaska Air Group has 6.89 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.03, which is OK given its current industry classification. Alaska Air Group has a current ratio of 0.79, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for Alaska to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns.

Alaska Air Total Assets Over Time

Alaska Air Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which Alaska Air uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

Alaska Air Debt Ratio

    
  33.0   
It seems about 67% of Alaska Air's assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Alaska Air's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Alaska Air, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

Alaska Air Corporate Bonds Issued

Alaska Air issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the most significant components of the U.S. bond market and are considered the world's largest securities market. Alaska Air Group uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt.

Alaska Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

7.24 Billion

At this time, Alaska Air's Short and Long Term Debt Total is quite stable compared to the past year.

About Alaska Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Alaska Air prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Alaska shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Alaska Air. By using and applying Alaska Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Alaska entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.01  0.01 
Operating Profit Margin 0.02  0.04 
Net Profit Margin 0.01  0.01 
Gross Profit Margin 0.60  0.43 

Current Alaska Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Alaska analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Alaska analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
70.8Strong Buy16Odds
Alaska Air Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Alaska analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Alaska stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Alaska Air Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Alaska conference calls.
Alaska Analyst Advice Details

Alaska Stock Analysis Indicators

Alaska Air Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Alaska Air stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Alaska Air shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Alaska Air stock analysis, traders can identify Alaska Air position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow1.3 B
Long Term Debt4.8 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding117.4 M
Total Stockholder Equity4.1 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.6 B
Tax Provision46 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.677
Property Plant And Equipment Net11.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments2.1 B
Cash627 M
Accounts Payable324 M
Net Debt6.3 B
50 Day M A48.4506
Total Current Liabilities6.6 B
Other Operating Expenses13.9 B
Non Current Assets Total17.1 B
Forward Price Earnings9.0171
Non Currrent Assets Other1.7 B
When determining whether Alaska Air Group is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Alaska Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Alaska Air Group Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Alaska Air Group Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Alaska Air Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alaska Air. If investors know Alaska will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Alaska Air assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.68)
Earnings Share
0.83
Revenue Per Share
120.495
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.028
Return On Assets
0.0171
The market value of Alaska Air Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alaska that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alaska Air's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alaska Air's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alaska Air's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alaska Air's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Alaska Air's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Alaska Air represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Alaska Air's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.